Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Vitale wins 57.1% vs left-shot opponents — Carter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 55.0% vs Carter 49.8% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vitale 74.4%
Defensive zone
Vitale 86.8%
Neutral zone
Vitale 65.9%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 73.5%
73.5%
26.5%
Vitale
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Vitale
Carter
Last 5: Vitale 4-1 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Vitale
Carter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
1
0
Vitale
Carter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vitale
2
0
Vitale
Carter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (646)
49.7% (390)
+6.2%
Power Play
100.0% (12)
57.1% (7)
+42.9%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (61)
48.5% (33)
-1.0%
On power play, Vitale has a +42.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots left. Vitale is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (496).
Vitale shoots right. Carter is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Home / Away
Vitale
Carter
Home
56.9% (383)
51.5% (171)
Away
54.4% (340)
48.7% (261)
By Period
Vitale
Carter
P1
51.5%
50.7%
P2
58.2%
48.4%
P3
56.8%
50.4%
Final 5 min
50.9%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
55.7%
Carter
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2012 | 2 | 10:10 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 1 | 11:43 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 1 | 03:06 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 2 | 10:36 | Offensive | Ryan Carter |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 2 | 03:40 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |