Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Vitale on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Vitale wins 57.1% vs left-shot opponents — Matthias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 55.0% vs Matthias 49.5% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Vitale
Matthias
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Vitale
Matthias
Last 5: Vitale 4-1 Matthias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
1
0
Vitale
Matthias
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
2
1
Vitale
Matthias
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vitale
1
0
Vitale
Matthias
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Matthias
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (646)
49.4% (510)
+6.5%
Power Play
100.0% (12)
55.3% (38)
+44.7%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (61)
46.5% (43)
+1.0%
On power play, Vitale has a +44.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthias shoots left. Vitale is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (496).
Vitale shoots right. Matthias is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (207).
Home / Away
Vitale
Matthias
Home
56.9% (383)
47.6% (315)
Away
54.4% (340)
51.4% (282)
By Period
Vitale
Matthias
P1
51.5%
50.0%
P2
58.2%
51.9%
P3
56.8%
45.8%
OT
80.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
39.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
55.7%
Matthias
40.0%▼
41.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2012 | 3 | 01:08 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Mar 9, 2012 | 1 | 13:04 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Mar 9, 2012 | 1 | 02:09 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 3 | 08:33 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 2 | 16:49 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |