Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Vitale on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Vitale wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 58.0% vs Bozak 52.4% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vitale 76.1%
Defensive zone
Vitale 71.9%
Neutral zone
Vitale 75.8%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 73.5%
73.5%
26.5%
Vitale
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Vitale
Bozak
Last 5: Vitale 4-1 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
2
1
Vitale
Bozak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vitale
2
0
Vitale
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
60.2% (251)
52.8% (697)
+7.4%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
50.9% (171)
+49.1%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (5)
53.3% (195)
+46.7%
On power play, Vitale has a +49.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Vitale is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (100).
Vitale shoots right. Bozak is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
Vitale
Bozak
Home
62.8% (121)
52.1% (530)
Away
59.6% (136)
53.1% (533)
By Period
Vitale
Bozak
P1
51.8%
54.1%
P2
57.1%
50.6%
P3
73.3%
53.4%
Final 5 min
65.5%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
61.1%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2013 | 1 | 02:54 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 23, 2013 | 3 | 10:36 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 23, 2013 | 3 | 08:41 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 23, 2013 | 2 | 18:14 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 23, 2013 | 2 | 14:34 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |