Jake Guentzel vs Joel Eriksson Ek
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joel Eriksson Ek holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Guentzel on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 48.1% vs Ek 49.2% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 57.8%
Defensive zone
Ek 83.3%
Neutral zone
Ek 57.5%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Guentzel
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Guentzel
Ek
Last 6: Guentzel 4-2 Ek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Guentzel
4
0
Guentzel
Ek
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
0
2
Guentzel
Ek
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (230)
48.1% (858)
+1.0%
Power Play
44.9% (118)
53.3% (272)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (26)
47.9% (188)
-1.7%
On power play, Ek has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. Guentzel is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (238).
Guentzel shoots left. Ek is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (901).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Ek
Home
50.2% (205)
49.9% (693)
Away
44.4% (169)
48.3% (625)
By Period
Guentzel
Ek
P1
47.6%
47.4%
P2
49.0%
53.1%
P3
46.2%
46.3%
OT
42.9%
54.9%
Final 5 min
49.3%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
54.0%▲
47.0%
47.6%
Ek
60.0%▲
52.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 17:38 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 16:37 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 00:26 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 05:10 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 14:24 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 09:33 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |