Scouting Report
Max Domi holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Ek on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ek wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 49.2% vs Domi 50.7% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 52.4%
Defensive zone
Ek 52.6%
Neutral zone
Ek 50.2%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Ek
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Ek
Domi
Last 5: Ek 3-2 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ek
Domi
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ek
2
1
Ek
Domi
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (858)
50.0% (290)
-1.9%
Power Play
53.3% (272)
60.0% (30)
-6.7%
On power play, Domi has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Ek is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (901).
Ek shoots left. Domi is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (211).
Home / Away
Ek
Domi
Home
49.9% (693)
51.1% (184)
Away
48.3% (625)
50.7% (136)
By Period
Ek
Domi
P1
47.4%
46.7%
P2
53.1%
51.3%
P3
46.3%
55.1%
OT
54.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.6%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
60.0%▲
52.0%
49.2%
Domi
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 2 | 03:06 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 2 | 00:14 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |