Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Ek wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 49.2% vs Zacha 51.8% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 58.3%
Defensive zone
Ek 53.6%
Neutral zone
Ek 57.9%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Ek
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Ek
Zacha
Last 7: Ek 2-5 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Ek
Zacha
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Ek
Zacha
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
2
Ek
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (858)
53.0% (700)
-4.9%
Power Play
53.3% (272)
54.1% (109)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (188)
39.2% (74)
+8.7%
On penalty kill, Ek has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Ek is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (901).
Ek shoots left. Zacha is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (520).
Home / Away
Ek
Zacha
Home
49.9% (693)
51.6% (438)
Away
48.3% (625)
52.4% (445)
By Period
Ek
Zacha
P1
47.4%
57.0%
P2
53.1%
48.9%
P3
46.3%
50.5%
OT
54.9%
42.1%
Final 5 min
44.6%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
60.0%▲
52.0%
49.2%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 07:16 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 01:21 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 01:01 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 10:58 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 07:59 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 02:12 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 02:39 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |