Scouting Report
Phil Varone holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Ek on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Ek wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Varone shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 46.4% vs Varone 49.8% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Varone 53.6%
Defensive zone
Ek 50.6%
Neutral zone
Varone 62.1%
Result
Phil Varone favored at 59.5%
40.5%
59.5%
Ek
Varone
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Ek
Varone
Last 5: Ek 3-2 Varone
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Varone
0
1
Ek
Varone
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ek
3
1
Ek
Varone
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Varone
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (482)
49.7% (161)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
29.5% (44)
50.0% (2)
-20.5%
On penalty kill, Varone has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Varone shoots left. Ek is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Ek shoots left. Varone is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
Ek
Varone
Home
48.4% (254)
48.2% (56)
Away
43.4% (286)
50.5% (107)
By Period
Ek
Varone
P1
44.8%
57.7%
P2
46.9%
49.2%
P3
45.3%
41.7%
Final 5 min
47.7%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
48.0%▬
49.0%
45.7%
Varone
40.0%▼
50.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2019 | 3 | 19:53 | Defensive | Phil Varone |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 3 | 19:37 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 3 | 08:18 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 1 | 08:02 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 1 | 02:03 | Neutral | Phil Varone |