Scouting Report
Brett Connolly holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Connolly wins 38.9% vs left-shot opponents — Farabee shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Connolly 43.2% vs Farabee 37.9% (+6.0%)
Offensive zone
Farabee 52.0%
Defensive zone
Farabee 60.7%
Neutral zone
Farabee 52.3%
Result
Joel Farabee favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Connolly
Farabee
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Connolly
Farabee
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (229)
32.7% (309)
+7.5%
Power Play
43.1% (58)
46.4% (56)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
34.8% (23)
+15.2%
On penalty kill, Connolly has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Farabee shoots left. Connolly is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Connolly shoots right. Farabee is 35.6% vs right-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
Connolly
Farabee
Home
42.6% (129)
33.5% (176)
Away
39.4% (160)
35.8% (212)
By Period
Connolly
Farabee
P1
41.8%
40.4%
P2
40.0%
32.3%
P3
40.6%
29.0%
Final 5 min
43.1%
36.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Connolly
30.0%▼
38.5%
40.8%
Farabee
46.0%▲
38.5%
34.8%