Scouting Report
Joel Kellman holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Rose on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Rose wins 41.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kellman shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rose 44.9% vs Kellman 47.9% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kellman 67.9%
Defensive zone
Kellman 61.7%
Neutral zone
Kellman 67.9%
Result
Joel Kellman favored at 66.6%
33.4%
66.6%
Rose
Kellman
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Rose
Kellman
Last 5: Rose 4-1 Kellman
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rose
1
0
Rose
Kellman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rose
3
1
Rose
Kellman
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rose
Kellman
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (234)
46.6% (223)
-4.3%
Power Play
16.7% (6)
71.4% (7)
-54.7%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (34)
37.5% (8)
+15.4%
On power play, Kellman has a +54.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kellman shoots left. Rose is 41.0% vs left-shot opponents (166).
Rose shoots left. Kellman is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (173).
Home / Away
Rose
Kellman
Home
40.7% (140)
42.9% (126)
Away
45.5% (134)
51.8% (112)
By Period
Rose
Kellman
P1
46.9%
48.8%
P2
41.3%
53.4%
P3
40.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
35.7%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rose
48.0%▲
44.5%
43.1%
Kellman
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2019 | 2 | 15:36 | Neutral | Jacob de la Rose |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 2 | 05:30 | Neutral | Jacob de la Rose |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 1 | 16:05 | Neutral | Jacob de la Rose |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 1 | 13:04 | Neutral | Joel Kellman |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 1 | 12:45 | Defensive | Jacob de la Rose |