Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 48.4%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 48.8% vs Ward 48.4% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ward 55.3%
Defensive zone
Paquette 60.5%
Neutral zone
Ward 50.9%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
Paquette
Ward
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Paquette
Ward
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
2
0
Paquette
Ward
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Ward
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (2,579)
51.3% (1,186)
-1.6%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
53.4% (238)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
42.5% (426)
35.5% (366)
+7.0%
On penalty kill, Paquette has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ward shoots right. Paquette is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,176).
Paquette shoots left. Ward is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,320).
Home / Away
Paquette
Ward
Home
50.2% (1,541)
50.3% (870)
Away
47.4% (1,507)
46.5% (921)
By Period
Paquette
Ward
P1
49.1%
47.6%
P2
49.9%
47.5%
P3
47.5%
50.3%
OT
20.0%
30.8%
Final 5 min
47.4%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
48.8%
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2017 | 3 | 12:26 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 19, 2017 | 1 | 05:11 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |