Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.4% vs 47.7%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 48.4% vs Kapanen 48.0% (+0.7%)
Offensive zone
Kapanen 59.9%
Defensive zone
Ward 66.9%
Neutral zone
Ward 50.4%
Result
Joel Ward favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Ward
Kapanen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,186)
48.1% (495)
+3.2%
Power Play
53.4% (238)
50.0% (48)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (366)
37.5% (32)
-2.0%
On power play, Ward has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Ward is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Ward shoots right. Kapanen is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Ward
Kapanen
Home
50.3% (870)
47.2% (299)
Away
46.5% (921)
48.2% (276)
By Period
Ward
Kapanen
P1
47.6%
42.0%
P2
47.5%
51.4%
P3
50.3%
49.2%
OT
30.8%
25.0%
Final 5 min
45.4%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%
Kapanen
58.0%▲
47.5%
47.7%