Scouting Report
Tyson Kozak holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Beecher wins 42.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kozak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beecher 45.7% vs Kozak 49.7% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beecher 56.9%
Defensive zone
Kozak 54.4%
Neutral zone
Kozak 55.7%
Result
Tyson Kozak favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Beecher
Kozak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Beecher
Kozak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kozak
0
1
Beecher
Kozak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beecher
1
0
Beecher
Kozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beecher
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (142)
49.3% (294)
-4.9%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
60.0% (5)
-60.0%
Penalty Kill
39.4% (33)
50.0% (40)
-10.6%
On power play, Kozak has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. Beecher is 42.2% vs left-shot opponents (135).
Beecher shoots left. Kozak is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (239).
Home / Away
Beecher
Kozak
Home
45.2% (93)
45.5% (145)
Away
41.0% (83)
52.6% (194)
By Period
Beecher
Kozak
P1
45.6%
53.4%
P2
34.8%
50.0%
P3
52.0%
44.3%
Final 5 min
40.0%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beecher
42.0%▼
44.5%
43.2%
Kozak
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 19:53 | Neutral | John Beecher |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 12:06 | Defensive | Tyson Kozak |