Scouting Report
Mathieu Perreault holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Madden on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Madden 49.6% vs Perreault 50.6% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Perreault 70.0%
Defensive zone
Madden 62.1%
Neutral zone
Madden 56.5%
Result
John Madden favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Madden
Perreault
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Madden
Perreault
Last 8: Madden 6-2 Perreault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Madden
1
0
Madden
Perreault
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Madden
1
0
Madden
Perreault
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Madden
4
2
Madden
Perreault
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Madden
Perreault
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (268)
51.8% (413)
-2.2%
Power Play
0.0% (5)
36.4% (33)
-36.4%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (35)
0.0% (1)
+57.1%
On penalty kill, Madden has a +57.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Perreault shoots left. Madden is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (212).
Madden shoots left. Perreault is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Home / Away
Madden
Perreault
Home
52.3% (151)
50.0% (212)
Away
46.9% (162)
51.5% (239)
By Period
Madden
Perreault
P1
54.9%
49.0%
P2
54.1%
47.8%
P3
40.5%
56.2%
Final 5 min
40.5%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Madden
54.0%▲
50.0%
49.5%
Perreault
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2012 | 3 | 04:31 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 1 | 05:42 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 2 | 17:16 | Neutral | Mathieu Perreault |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 2 | 11:47 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 1 | 17:28 | Offensive | John Madden |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 1 | 12:44 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 3 | 04:57 | Neutral | Mathieu Perreault |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 1 | 11:50 | Defensive | John Madden |