Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.8% vs 57.2%). Kopitar wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.3% vs Tavares 56.7% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 62.6%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 58.1%
Neutral zone
Tavares 67.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Kopitar
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Kopitar
Tavares
Last 7: Kopitar 2-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Kopitar
Tavares
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kopitar
Tavares
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Kopitar
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (749)
57.7% (956)
-1.6%
Power Play
63.3% (215)
55.7% (244)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (155)
52.2% (23)
-0.6%
On power play, Kopitar has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Kopitar is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (761).
Kopitar shoots left. Tavares is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (786).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Tavares
Home
57.3% (553)
57.4% (636)
Away
56.4% (566)
57.1% (587)
By Period
Kopitar
Tavares
P1
56.5%
57.1%
P2
58.0%
57.0%
P3
56.1%
57.6%
OT
57.9%
57.7%
Final 5 min
56.3%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
72.0%▲
60.0%
56.8%
Tavares
44.0%▼
52.5%
57.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 16:07 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 07:24 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 04:27 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 14:08 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 05:05 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 11:11 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 10:56 | Neutral | John Tavares |