Scouting Report
Brad Richards holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.5% vs Tavares 49.4% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 53.3%
Defensive zone
Tavares 51.8%
Neutral zone
Tavares 53.2%
Result
John Tavares favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Richards
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Richards
Tavares
Last 6: Richards 1-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
3
Richards
Tavares
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Richards
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (655)
48.6% (716)
+2.4%
Power Play
49.1% (106)
52.4% (208)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (12)
33.3% (6)
+8.4%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Richards is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Richards shoots left. Tavares is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (532).
Home / Away
Richards
Tavares
Home
51.9% (397)
50.7% (448)
Away
49.2% (376)
48.1% (482)
By Period
Richards
Tavares
P1
47.1%
52.8%
P2
54.2%
51.4%
P3
50.0%
43.7%
OT
56.3%
54.5%
Final 5 min
48.2%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.6%
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2013 | 2 | 04:14 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 1 | 11:00 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 1 | 05:48 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 14, 2013 | OT | 03:27 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 14, 2013 | 1 | 14:49 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Feb 14, 2013 | 1 | 05:54 | Defensive | John Tavares |