Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Point wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 47.0% vs Tavares 56.8% (-10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 84.6%
Defensive zone
Tavares 89.4%
Neutral zone
Tavares 92.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 88.4%
11.6%
88.4%
Point
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Point
Tavares
Last 9: Point 7-2 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Point
Tavares
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Point
2
0
Point
Tavares
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
3
0
Point
Tavares
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (453)
57.7% (975)
-11.8%
Power Play
50.0% (108)
56.0% (250)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
52.2% (23)
-32.2%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +32.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Point is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (421).
Point shoots right. Tavares is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (437).
Home / Away
Point
Tavares
Home
46.6% (264)
57.4% (636)
Away
46.4% (302)
57.2% (612)
By Period
Point
Tavares
P1
46.3%
57.5%
P2
45.5%
56.9%
P3
48.6%
57.5%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
45.7%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
48.0%▬
48.0%
46.5%
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 18:18 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 17:13 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 14:39 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 14:20 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 12:03 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 07:16 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 07:07 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 06:22 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 01:43 | Offensive | Brayden Point |