Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on neutral-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Tierney wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 46.2% vs Tavares 54.7% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Tierney 50.1%
Defensive zone
Tierney 85.5%
Neutral zone
Tierney 67.0%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
Tierney
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
11
(17 meetings)
6
11
Tierney
Tavares
Last 10: Tierney 6-4 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
4
Tierney
Tavares
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
2
0
Tierney
Tavares
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
7
Tierney
Tavares
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (487)
54.5% (692)
-8.1%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
59.1% (149)
+18.7%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (94)
54.5% (11)
-16.2%
On power play, Tierney has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Tierney is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Tierney shoots left. Tavares is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (554).
Home / Away
Tierney
Tavares
Home
49.3% (286)
57.9% (404)
Away
42.1% (304)
52.9% (448)
By Period
Tierney
Tavares
P1
48.5%
54.2%
P2
41.1%
55.1%
P3
48.1%
56.4%
OT
25.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
36.2%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
45.6%
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2021 | 3 | 04:05 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 2 | 16:52 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 1 | 09:31 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 3 | 11:04 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 15:57 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 1 | 04:08 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 3 | 11:01 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 3 | 04:23 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 2 | 17:40 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 2 | 09:13 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 17, 2021 | 3 | 03:41 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 3 | 18:48 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 3 | 18:40 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 2 | 19:01 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 09:49 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 15, 2021 | 3 | 19:36 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 15, 2021 | 3 | 06:35 | Offensive | John Tavares |