Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 48.4% vs Tavares 58.7% (-11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 82.9%
Defensive zone
McCann 80.4%
Neutral zone
McCann 80.7%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 82.1%
82.1%
17.9%
McCann
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
McCann
Tavares
Last 6: McCann 0-6 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
4
McCann
Tavares
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
McCann
Tavares
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
McCann
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (260)
59.2% (1,035)
-10.4%
Power Play
37.0% (27)
60.0% (310)
-23.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
42.9% (7)
+7.1%
On power play, Tavares has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. McCann is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (196).
McCann shoots left. Tavares is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
McCann
Tavares
Home
51.0% (143)
57.5% (668)
Away
45.1% (164)
61.1% (684)
By Period
McCann
Tavares
P1
53.6%
58.0%
P2
52.0%
60.1%
P3
37.6%
61.0%
OT
0.0%
27.8%
Final 5 min
41.7%
60.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▲
44.0%
47.9%
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 17:19 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 04:20 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 2 | 00:49 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 2 | 00:42 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 1 | 07:12 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 05:52 | Offensive | John Tavares |