Scouting Report
Lukas Sedlak holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Sedlak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 50.6% vs Sedlak 51.9% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 73.0%
Defensive zone
Sedlak 73.5%
Neutral zone
Tavares 50.2%
Result
John Tavares favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Tavares
Sedlak
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Tavares
Sedlak
Last 8: Tavares 5-3 Sedlak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
0
Tavares
Sedlak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Sedlak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sedlak
1
2
Tavares
Sedlak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Sedlak
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (1,202)
52.0% (415)
-3.3%
Power Play
59.3% (305)
100.0% (3)
-40.7%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (121)
52.0% (25)
-4.1%
On power play, Sedlak has a +40.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sedlak shoots left. Tavares is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,072).
Tavares shoots left. Sedlak is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (297).
Home / Away
Tavares
Sedlak
Home
52.1% (841)
52.4% (229)
Away
49.0% (787)
52.3% (214)
By Period
Tavares
Sedlak
P1
52.2%
54.4%
P2
50.7%
47.2%
P3
49.7%
56.3%
Final 5 min
51.5%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
50.6%
Sedlak
44.0%▼
45.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2017 | 3 | 14:39 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 3 | 05:21 | Neutral | Lukas Sedlak |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 2 | 16:21 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 1 | 11:25 | Neutral | Lukas Sedlak |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 1 | 09:43 | Defensive | Lukas Sedlak |
| Dec 10, 2016 | 1 | 18:10 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 10, 2016 | 1 | 17:54 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 10, 2016 | 1 | 11:09 | Offensive | John Tavares |