Scouting Report
Martin Hanzal holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hanzal on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hanzal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 52.1% vs Hanzal 55.6% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 63.3%
Defensive zone
Hanzal 87.8%
Neutral zone
Hanzal 66.9%
Result
Martin Hanzal favored at 67.3%
32.7%
67.3%
Tavares
Hanzal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Tavares
Hanzal
Last 6: Tavares 4-2 Hanzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
Hanzal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
1
2
Tavares
Hanzal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Hanzal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Hanzal
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (1,121)
57.5% (504)
-5.1%
Power Play
51.3% (304)
58.8% (51)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
58.8% (17)
45.6% (57)
+13.2%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hanzal shoots left. Tavares is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (911).
Tavares shoots left. Hanzal is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (331).
Home / Away
Tavares
Hanzal
Home
56.5% (731)
59.7% (288)
Away
47.8% (711)
53.7% (324)
By Period
Tavares
Hanzal
P1
56.1%
57.1%
P2
50.3%
56.5%
P3
50.5%
55.2%
OT
50.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
51.5%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2014 | 3 | 08:02 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 3 | 05:12 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 2 | 07:36 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 2 | 07:23 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 1 | 14:55 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 1 | 04:13 | Neutral | John Tavares |