Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +17.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.2% vs Schmaltz 40.4% (+17.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 64.2%
Defensive zone
Tavares 80.4%
Neutral zone
Tavares 69.7%
Result
John Tavares favored at 68.6%
68.6%
31.4%
Tavares
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Tavares
Schmaltz
Last 5: Tavares 3-2 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Schmaltz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Tavares
Schmaltz
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,201)
37.6% (237)
+15.4%
Power Play
61.5% (262)
32.5% (40)
+29.0%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (65)
50.0% (4)
+3.8%
On power play, Tavares has a +29.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Tavares is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (558).
Tavares shoots left. Schmaltz is 37.3% vs left-shot opponents (204).
Home / Away
Tavares
Schmaltz
Home
57.5% (762)
42.6% (129)
Away
51.4% (766)
32.2% (152)
By Period
Tavares
Schmaltz
P1
54.5%
38.8%
P2
53.2%
29.4%
P3
55.5%
42.2%
OT
60.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.3%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
54.5%
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
37.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2018 | 2 | 06:10 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 7, 2018 | 1 | 14:43 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 7, 2018 | 1 | 12:02 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 7, 2018 | 1 | 09:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 7, 2018 | 1 | 00:34 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |