John Tavares vs Nicklas Backstrom
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on defensive-zone draws (66% H2H, 64 meetings). Tavares wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Backstrom 50.5% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 104-93 in 197 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 70.1%
Defensive zone
Tavares 54.8%
Neutral zone
Tavares 59.5%
Result
John Tavares favored at 61.2%
61.2%
38.8%
Tavares
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
104
-
93
(197 meetings)
104
93
Tavares
Backstrom
Last 10: Tavares 3-7 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
38
22
Tavares
Backstrom
60 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
22
42
Tavares
Backstrom
64 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
44
29
Tavares
Backstrom
73 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (15,885)
50.4% (11,581)
+3.6%
Power Play
56.5% (4,221)
52.3% (1,895)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (612)
47.0% (889)
+3.7%
On power play, Tavares has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,318).
Tavares shoots left. Backstrom is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (8,966).
Home / Away
Tavares
Backstrom
Home
56.1% (10,389)
52.6% (7,223)
Away
52.7% (10,358)
48.4% (7,173)
By Period
Tavares
Backstrom
P1
55.1%
50.1%
P2
54.1%
49.7%
P3
54.0%
51.6%
OT
56.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
54.7%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.4%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 05:41 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 01:37 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 05:12 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 3 | 01:13 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 3 | 08:02 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 3 | 00:42 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 2 | 12:31 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 2 | 00:15 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 1 | 11:36 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 1 | 05:55 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 3 | 19:59 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 3 | 19:27 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 3 | 03:32 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 2 | 13:15 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 3 | 18:10 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 3 | 17:09 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 3 | 12:14 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 3 | 11:53 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 2 | 15:19 | Offensive | John Tavares |