Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Sestito shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 51.2% vs Sestito 46.3% (+10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 92.9%
Defensive zone
Tavares 75.4%
Neutral zone
Tavares 86.7%
Result
John Tavares favored at 87.9%
87.9%
12.1%
Tavares
Sestito
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Tavares
Sestito
Last 6: Tavares 5-1 Sestito
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
0
Tavares
Sestito
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Sestito
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Sestito
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Sestito
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (1,232)
40.5% (74)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (30)
100.0% (1)
-63.3%
On penalty kill, Sestito has a +63.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sestito shoots left. Tavares is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,084).
Tavares shoots left. Sestito is 38.3% vs left-shot opponents (60).
Home / Away
Tavares
Sestito
Home
52.8% (781)
32.3% (31)
Away
49.9% (804)
47.7% (44)
By Period
Tavares
Sestito
P1
52.8%
38.7%
P2
52.1%
14.3%
P3
48.7%
69.6%
Final 5 min
51.8%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
51.3%
Sestito
36.0%▼
44.0%
41.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 1 | 19:46 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 1 | 15:52 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 3 | 00:56 | Neutral | Tim Sestito |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 2 | 11:24 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 2 | 02:54 | Offensive | John Tavares |