Brett Connolly vs Jonathan Marchessault
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jonathan Marchessault holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Connolly wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Marchessault shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Connolly 43.2% vs Marchessault 42.4% (-1.2%)
Offensive zone
Connolly 50.6%
Defensive zone
Connolly 59.1%
Neutral zone
Connolly 50.6%
Result
Brett Connolly favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Connolly
Marchessault
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Connolly
Marchessault
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (229)
41.5% (1,423)
-1.3%
Power Play
43.1% (58)
44.3% (264)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
44.4% (9)
+5.6%
On penalty kill, Connolly has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marchessault shoots right. Connolly is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Connolly shoots right. Marchessault is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (584).
Home / Away
Connolly
Marchessault
Home
42.6% (129)
42.7% (880)
Away
39.4% (160)
41.2% (816)
By Period
Connolly
Marchessault
P1
41.8%
43.3%
P2
40.0%
42.2%
P3
40.6%
40.2%
Final 5 min
43.1%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Connolly
30.0%▼
38.5%
40.8%
Marchessault
36.0%▲
34.0%
42.0%