Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.5% vs Toews 60.4% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 75.5%
Defensive zone
Copp 74.4%
Neutral zone
Copp 73.8%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 74.6%
74.6%
25.4%
Copp
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Copp
Toews
Last 8: Copp 2-6 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
2
Copp
Toews
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
2
Copp
Toews
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
0
2
Copp
Toews
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (728)
62.6% (728)
-8.2%
Power Play
56.0% (75)
59.4% (143)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (59)
46.9% (32)
-1.1%
On even strength, Toews has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Copp is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Copp shoots left. Toews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Home / Away
Copp
Toews
Home
54.4% (441)
61.1% (455)
Away
53.4% (421)
62.1% (448)
By Period
Copp
Toews
P1
52.0%
59.7%
P2
55.8%
66.7%
P3
54.2%
58.4%
OT
20.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
60.7%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
54.0%▲
51.5%
53.9%
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
61.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 13:02 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 10:47 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 10:27 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 17:30 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 17:23 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 15:12 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 09:08 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 05:34 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |