Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Soderberg wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 45.7% vs Toews 57.5% (-12.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 69.2%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 88.4%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 71.5%
Result
Carl Soderberg favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Soderberg
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Soderberg
Toews
Last 5: Soderberg 1-4 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
3
Soderberg
Toews
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
1
0
Soderberg
Toews
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Soderberg
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (682)
58.4% (1,115)
-11.5%
Power Play
43.8% (64)
61.3% (256)
-17.5%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (193)
50.5% (182)
-10.6%
On power play, Toews has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Soderberg is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (578).
Soderberg shoots left. Toews is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,035).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Toews
Home
50.2% (484)
59.5% (783)
Away
40.0% (455)
56.4% (770)
By Period
Soderberg
Toews
P1
45.5%
58.4%
P2
44.3%
59.4%
P3
45.8%
55.9%
OT
66.7%
61.1%
Final 5 min
42.1%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
45.3%
Toews
52.0%▼
58.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2018 | 1 | 14:35 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 3 | 18:04 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 3 | 15:05 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 3 | 09:30 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 1 | 15:35 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |