Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +19.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Svechkov wins 42.3% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Svechkov 43.2% vs Toews 60.4% (-19.8%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Svechkov 52.0%
Defensive zone
Svechkov 58.2%
Neutral zone
Svechkov 53.7%
Result
Fedor Svechkov favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Svechkov
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Svechkov
Toews
Last 10: Svechkov 4-6 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Svechkov
3
2
Svechkov
Toews
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Svechkov
Toews
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
1
3
Svechkov
Toews
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Svechkov
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (472)
62.6% (728)
-20.9%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
59.4% (143)
-26.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
46.9% (32)
+3.1%
On power play, Toews has a +26.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Svechkov is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (312).
Svechkov shoots left. Toews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Home / Away
Svechkov
Toews
Home
39.7% (247)
61.1% (455)
Away
44.0% (234)
62.1% (448)
By Period
Svechkov
Toews
P1
36.1%
59.7%
P2
44.5%
66.7%
P3
44.1%
58.4%
OT
100.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
42.0%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Svechkov
28.0%▼
38.5%
41.8%
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
61.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 05:53 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 13:17 | Defensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 12:50 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 03:10 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 08:15 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 07:54 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 01:08 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 06:04 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 05:45 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 10:25 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 02:39 | Neutral | Fedor Svechkov |