Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 37 meetings). Thornton wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 54.3% vs Toews 57.9% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 68-57 in 125 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 63.6%
Defensive zone
Thornton 64.2%
Neutral zone
Thornton 64.4%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 64.1%
64.1%
35.9%
Thornton
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
57
-
68
(125 meetings)
57
68
Thornton
Toews
Last 10: Thornton 2-8 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
14
23
Thornton
Toews
37 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
25
18
Thornton
Toews
43 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
18
27
Thornton
Toews
45 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,640)
57.2% (13,079)
-3.7%
Power Play
57.2% (1,387)
63.3% (3,254)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (427)
53.6% (1,810)
+3.1%
On power play, Toews has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Thornton is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,220).
Thornton shoots left. Toews is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (11,675).
Home / Away
Thornton
Toews
Home
55.8% (4,271)
59.7% (9,212)
Away
52.8% (4,219)
56.1% (8,962)
By Period
Thornton
Toews
P1
55.0%
58.6%
P2
53.3%
57.9%
P3
54.4%
57.3%
OT
56.4%
58.9%
Final 5 min
53.7%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2020 | 3 | 03:29 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 11, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 08:25 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 2 | 16:38 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 15:20 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 1 | 09:50 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 3 | 18:17 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 3 | 07:06 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 3 | 04:07 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 2 | 16:06 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 1 | 17:00 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 3 | 15:17 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 3 | 06:54 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 1 | 18:30 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 3 | 18:31 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 3 | 07:39 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 3 | 07:29 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 2 | 13:33 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 2 | 03:39 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 18, 2016 | 3 | 03:05 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |