Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Toews wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 60.4% vs Jankowski 53.1% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 91.4%
Defensive zone
Toews 83.0%
Neutral zone
Toews 93.1%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 91.4%
91.4%
8.6%
Toews
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Toews
Jankowski
Last 8: Toews 7-1 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
0
Toews
Jankowski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Jankowski
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
4
1
Toews
Jankowski
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
62.6% (728)
53.7% (555)
+8.9%
Power Play
59.4% (143)
50.0% (14)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (32)
54.3% (46)
-7.4%
On power play, Toews has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Toews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Toews shoots left. Jankowski is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (379).
Home / Away
Toews
Jankowski
Home
61.1% (455)
53.2% (331)
Away
62.1% (448)
54.2% (284)
By Period
Toews
Jankowski
P1
59.7%
52.7%
P2
66.7%
55.8%
P3
58.4%
52.5%
Final 5 min
58.7%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
61.6%
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 17:27 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 02:23 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:49 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 3 | 14:03 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 3 | 04:13 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 1 | 09:40 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 1 | 09:28 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 1 | 04:36 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |