Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Toews wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 60.4% vs Laughton 55.9% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 92.4%
Defensive zone
Laughton 70.3%
Neutral zone
Toews 77.9%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 69.5%
69.5%
30.5%
Toews
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Toews
Laughton
Last 8: Toews 5-3 Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
0
Toews
Laughton
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laughton
0
2
Toews
Laughton
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
3
1
Toews
Laughton
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
62.6% (728)
54.5% (488)
+8.1%
Power Play
59.4% (143)
85.7% (7)
-26.3%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (32)
63.4% (142)
-16.5%
On power play, Laughton has a +26.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. Toews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Toews shoots left. Laughton is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (427).
Home / Away
Toews
Laughton
Home
61.1% (455)
57.5% (275)
Away
62.1% (448)
56.4% (362)
By Period
Toews
Laughton
P1
59.7%
56.0%
P2
66.7%
61.8%
P3
58.4%
52.1%
OT
80.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
58.7%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
61.6%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 06:53 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 00:22 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 07:13 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 04:57 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 14:09 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |