Fraser Minten vs Jonny Brodzinski
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jonny Brodzinski holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Minten wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Brodzinski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 48.8% vs Brodzinski 51.7% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brodzinski 56.5%
Defensive zone
Minten 59.2%
Neutral zone
Minten 61.0%
Result
Fraser Minten favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Minten
Brodzinski
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Minten
Brodzinski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Minten
1
0
Minten
Brodzinski
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brodzinski
0
1
Minten
Brodzinski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
Brodzinski
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (651)
53.6% (69)
-4.0%
Power Play
48.0% (50)
60.0% (5)
-12.0%
On power play, Brodzinski has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodzinski shoots right. Minten is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (269).
Minten shoots left. Brodzinski is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (63).
Home / Away
Minten
Brodzinski
Home
52.4% (349)
46.3% (41)
Away
45.3% (397)
63.6% (33)
By Period
Minten
Brodzinski
P1
45.4%
54.2%
P2
47.1%
51.6%
P3
52.3%
57.9%
Final 5 min
46.5%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
52.0%▲
50.0%
48.7%
Brodzinski
52.0%▲
49.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 18:31 | Neutral | Jonny Brodzinski |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 18:24 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |