Scouting Report
Jonny Brodzinski holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Brodzinski wins 57.1% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brodzinski 51.7% vs Donato 47.1% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brodzinski 66.1%
Defensive zone
Donato 50.7%
Neutral zone
Brodzinski 52.7%
Result
Jonny Brodzinski favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Brodzinski
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Brodzinski
Donato
Last 5: Brodzinski 3-2 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brodzinski
1
0
Brodzinski
Donato
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Brodzinski
Donato
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brodzinski
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (69)
46.8% (297)
+6.8%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
41.0% (39)
+19.0%
On power play, Brodzinski has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Brodzinski is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (63).
Brodzinski shoots right. Donato is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Brodzinski
Donato
Home
46.3% (41)
45.8% (142)
Away
63.6% (33)
46.7% (195)
By Period
Brodzinski
Donato
P1
54.2%
49.5%
P2
51.6%
45.7%
P3
57.9%
43.4%
Final 5 min
52.2%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brodzinski
52.0%▲
49.5%
54.1%
Donato
40.0%▼
46.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2026 | 3 | 02:50 | Offensive | Jonny Brodzinski |
| Mar 27, 2026 | 2 | 08:38 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 27, 2026 | 2 | 08:32 | Neutral | Jonny Brodzinski |
| Mar 27, 2026 | 2 | 05:24 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 1 | 02:05 | Neutral | Jonny Brodzinski |