Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Ryan wins 56.1% vs left-shot opponents — Martinook shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.6% vs Martinook 44.9% (+10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 95.8%
Defensive zone
Ryan 54.0%
Neutral zone
Ryan 88.3%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 95.8%
95.8%
4.2%
Ryan
Martinook
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Ryan
Martinook
Last 5: Ryan 4-1 Martinook
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
4
1
Ryan
Martinook
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Martinook
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (576)
44.6% (818)
+10.3%
Power Play
59.8% (112)
47.1% (34)
+12.7%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (19)
42.7% (185)
-0.6%
On power play, Ryan has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Martinook shoots left. Ryan is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (478).
Ryan shoots right. Martinook is 39.0% vs right-shot opponents (331).
Home / Away
Ryan
Martinook
Home
57.7% (355)
48.1% (561)
Away
52.8% (352)
39.9% (476)
By Period
Ryan
Martinook
P1
57.9%
46.6%
P2
53.2%
46.4%
P3
54.8%
40.6%
OT
100.0%
38.1%
Final 5 min
51.6%
38.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Martinook
48.0%▬
48.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2017 | 3 | 19:31 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 2 | 05:19 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 2 | 01:39 | Offensive | Jordan Martinook |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 1 | 05:36 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 3 | 18:25 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |