Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.0% vs 43.6%). Look for Shaw on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Shaw wins 44.1% vs right-shot opponents — Schroeder shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 45.1% vs Schroeder 45.1% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schroeder 50.1%
Defensive zone
Schroeder 53.0%
Neutral zone
Shaw 50.7%
Result
Jordan Schroeder favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Shaw
Schroeder
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Shaw
Schroeder
Last 5: Shaw 3-2 Schroeder
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
3
1
Shaw
Schroeder
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schroeder
0
1
Shaw
Schroeder
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Schroeder
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (430)
43.2% (280)
+1.2%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
47.5% (40)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
0.0% (1)
+20.0%
On penalty kill, Shaw has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schroeder shoots right. Shaw is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (118).
Shaw shoots right. Schroeder is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (97).
Home / Away
Shaw
Schroeder
Home
45.5% (224)
41.2% (136)
Away
42.5% (233)
45.4% (185)
By Period
Shaw
Schroeder
P1
39.1%
51.1%
P2
41.7%
39.7%
P3
50.3%
40.5%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
43.2%
40.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
44.0%
Schroeder
58.0%▲
50.0%
43.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2013 | 3 | 17:18 | Neutral | Jordan Schroeder |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 1 | 09:12 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 1, 2013 | 2 | 15:21 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 1, 2013 | 2 | 09:12 | Defensive | Jordan Schroeder |
| Feb 1, 2013 | 2 | 05:13 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |