Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Shaw wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 47.7% vs Staal 55.3% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 65.4%
Defensive zone
Shaw 56.2%
Neutral zone
Shaw 60.8%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 62.3%
62.3%
37.7%
Shaw
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Shaw
Staal
Last 6: Shaw 1-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
4
Shaw
Staal
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Shaw
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (299)
56.7% (750)
-10.9%
Power Play
54.5% (66)
62.5% (120)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (19)
46.4% (153)
-4.3%
On even strength, Staal has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Shaw is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (293).
Shaw shoots right. Staal is 60.2% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Home / Away
Shaw
Staal
Home
50.0% (152)
58.8% (522)
Away
45.3% (232)
52.7% (501)
By Period
Shaw
Staal
P1
44.8%
60.8%
P2
46.0%
55.9%
P3
50.4%
51.7%
Final 5 min
46.8%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
47.1%
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2019 | 3 | 10:19 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 24, 2019 | 3 | 10:16 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 24, 2019 | 1 | 10:27 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 3 | 18:56 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 2 | 09:12 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 2 | 06:16 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |