Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.6% vs 55.3%). Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (61% H2H, 74 meetings). Kopitar wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.5% vs Staal 55.3% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 123-85 in 208 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 52.5%
Defensive zone
Staal 63.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 56.4%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Kopitar
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
85
-
123
(208 meetings)
85
123
Kopitar
Staal
Last 10: Kopitar 7-3 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
29
45
Kopitar
Staal
74 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
30
40
Kopitar
Staal
70 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
26
38
Kopitar
Staal
64 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (16,761)
55.9% (14,654)
-1.3%
Power Play
59.2% (3,590)
62.7% (1,762)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (2,946)
47.9% (2,907)
+0.5%
On power play, Staal has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Kopitar is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (15,187).
Kopitar shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,805).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Staal
Home
55.3% (11,663)
56.4% (9,699)
Away
53.8% (11,682)
54.3% (9,689)
By Period
Kopitar
Staal
P1
54.5%
55.2%
P2
54.9%
55.9%
P3
53.9%
54.8%
OT
59.3%
56.2%
Final 5 min
55.0%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
72.0%▲
60.0%
54.6%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | 3 | 15:15 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 3 | 15:10 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 3 | 13:37 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 3 | 13:21 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 3 | 10:22 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 3 | 09:53 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 3 | 05:32 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 2 | 19:20 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 2 | 16:01 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 2 | 12:13 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 2 | 12:09 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 2 | 08:24 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 2 | 05:00 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 1 | 14:41 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 1 | 12:25 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 1 | 07:58 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 1 | 06:21 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 1 | 04:22 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |