Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 52.4% vs Staal 55.7% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Helm 50.2%
Defensive zone
Helm 63.2%
Neutral zone
Helm 55.7%
Result
Darren Helm favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Helm
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Helm
Staal
Last 5: Helm 2-3 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Helm
Staal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Helm
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Helm
1
0
Helm
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (330)
56.6% (769)
-1.4%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
60.2% (98)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
41.1% (73)
27.8% (18)
+13.3%
On penalty kill, Helm has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Helm is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (278).
Helm shoots left. Staal is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (519).
Home / Away
Helm
Staal
Home
53.3% (214)
57.8% (510)
Away
52.7% (207)
54.4% (375)
By Period
Helm
Staal
P1
52.5%
55.1%
P2
57.6%
56.8%
P3
47.7%
57.1%
OT
75.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
54.5%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
53.0%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 10:39 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 04:37 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 2 | 03:56 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 2 | 01:29 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 1 | 16:17 | Defensive | Darren Helm |