Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). MacKenzie wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 51.3% vs Staal 54.1% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
MacKenzie leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 72.5%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 56.7%
Neutral zone
Staal 59.9%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
MacKenzie
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
MacKenzie
Staal
Last 10: MacKenzie 6-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
2
1
MacKenzie
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
2
1
MacKenzie
Staal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
3
2
MacKenzie
Staal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (377)
55.3% (1,171)
-0.4%
Power Play
63.6% (11)
56.6% (173)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (109)
42.9% (133)
-4.4%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. MacKenzie is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (282).
MacKenzie shoots left. Staal is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (972).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Staal
Home
51.9% (237)
54.7% (720)
Away
51.2% (260)
54.0% (757)
By Period
MacKenzie
Staal
P1
49.7%
51.2%
P2
50.6%
57.4%
P3
53.5%
54.6%
OT
100.0%
52.2%
Final 5 min
49.1%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
51.5%
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2014 | 3 | 11:40 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 2 | 19:03 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 3 | 18:18 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 3 | 17:59 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 2 | 08:20 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 27, 2014 | 3 | 09:03 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 27, 2014 | 2 | 16:34 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 3 | 18:02 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 3 | 13:23 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |