Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lundeström on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Lundeström wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 47.5% vs Staal 54.2% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 86.9%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 51.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 70.9%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 70.2%
29.8%
70.2%
Lundeström
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Lundeström
Staal
Last 9: Lundeström 6-3 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Lundeström
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundeström
1
0
Lundeström
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundeström
5
2
Lundeström
Staal
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (626)
57.0% (1,017)
-6.7%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
57.7% (26)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (300)
45.1% (286)
-4.8%
On even strength, Staal has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Lundeström is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (677).
Lundeström shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Home / Away
Lundeström
Staal
Home
48.4% (504)
54.3% (667)
Away
45.8% (432)
54.7% (662)
By Period
Lundeström
Staal
P1
50.2%
56.2%
P2
43.5%
57.0%
P3
47.8%
49.7%
OT
71.4%
68.4%
Final 5 min
43.4%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.5%
47.2%
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 02:32 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 13:45 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 11:07 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Jan 12, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 3 | 19:04 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 3 | 14:24 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 2 | 01:41 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |