Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Granlund 49.5% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 60.1%
Defensive zone
Granlund 52.7%
Neutral zone
Granlund 54.7%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Staal
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Staal
Granlund
Last 5: Staal 2-3 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
1
Staal
Granlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Granlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
1
Staal
Granlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (989)
49.7% (493)
+6.5%
Power Play
66.0% (159)
58.6% (111)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (253)
31.1% (61)
+11.6%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Staal shoots left. Granlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (445).
Home / Away
Staal
Granlund
Home
55.4% (699)
54.7% (276)
Away
54.4% (702)
45.8% (389)
By Period
Staal
Granlund
P1
55.7%
52.2%
P2
54.7%
49.3%
P3
53.4%
47.4%
OT
70.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
56.7%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Granlund
62.0%▲
54.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 09:36 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 05:42 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 15:23 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 03:22 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |