Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 65.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Bjugstad 49.5% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 90.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 78.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 74.7%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 80.8%
80.8%
19.2%
Staal
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Staal
Bjugstad
Last 10: Staal 7-3 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal
Bjugstad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Staal
Bjugstad
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (989)
49.7% (292)
+6.5%
Power Play
66.0% (159)
50.0% (6)
+16.0%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (253)
47.2% (36)
-4.5%
On power play, Staal has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Staal is 65.0% vs right-shot opponents (431).
Staal shoots left. Bjugstad is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
Staal
Bjugstad
Home
55.4% (699)
48.7% (193)
Away
54.4% (702)
50.4% (141)
By Period
Staal
Bjugstad
P1
55.7%
41.5%
P2
54.7%
57.3%
P3
53.4%
50.0%
OT
70.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.7%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 09:43 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 09:39 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 07:30 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 03:16 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 02:58 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 02:54 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 16:06 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 15:49 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 15:44 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 06:14 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 18:32 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |