Scouting Report
Rich Peverley holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 47.3% vs Peverley 55.4% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Peverley 85.2%
Defensive zone
Peverley 76.7%
Neutral zone
Peverley 73.8%
Result
Rich Peverley favored at 78.1%
21.9%
78.1%
Staal
Peverley
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Staal
Peverley
Last 8: Staal 5-3 Peverley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Peverley
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
1
Staal
Peverley
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Peverley
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Peverley
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (552)
55.9% (800)
-8.3%
Power Play
49.1% (110)
54.8% (219)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (111)
58.4% (149)
-20.6%
On penalty kill, Peverley has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peverley shoots right. Staal is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Staal shoots left. Peverley is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (820).
Home / Away
Staal
Peverley
Home
49.8% (400)
57.3% (590)
Away
44.1% (401)
54.4% (586)
By Period
Staal
Peverley
P1
53.7%
56.0%
P2
43.9%
58.1%
P3
43.5%
54.0%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
46.9%
Peverley
60.0%▲
58.0%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2011 | 3 | 12:25 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 3 | 12:17 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 2 | 12:03 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 1 | 13:08 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 1 | 04:20 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 1 | 00:58 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |