Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). Staal wins 61.5% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.3% vs Nash 49.8% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 15-7 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 95.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 67.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 84.6%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 85.4%
85.4%
14.6%
Staal
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
7
(22 meetings)
15
7
Staal
Nash
Last 10: Staal 7-3 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
9
1
Staal
Nash
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
2
3
Staal
Nash
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
4
3
Staal
Nash
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (780)
51.2% (283)
+6.0%
Power Play
71.3% (171)
50.0% (2)
+21.3%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (132)
39.0% (41)
+6.5%
On power play, Staal has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Staal is 61.5% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Staal shoots left. Nash is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Home / Away
Staal
Nash
Home
57.6% (566)
50.6% (178)
Away
58.4% (517)
48.6% (148)
By Period
Staal
Nash
P1
55.6%
46.8%
P2
58.5%
45.5%
P3
60.6%
56.4%
OT
43.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.6%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
58.0%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2021 | 3 | 19:44 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 19:27 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 06:20 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 1 | 04:58 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 19:49 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 14:18 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 14:12 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 03:26 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 18, 2021 | OT | 01:31 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 1 | 01:51 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 1 | 09:56 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 7, 2021 | 3 | 07:38 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 7, 2021 | 3 | 05:13 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 7, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Feb 7, 2021 | 2 | 16:35 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Feb 7, 2021 | 2 | 07:11 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 7, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 7, 2021 | 1 | 15:34 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 7, 2021 | 1 | 12:04 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 7, 2021 | 1 | 02:57 | Defensive | Riley Nash |