Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Staal wins 60.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.3% vs Bozak 55.8% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 56.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 77.9%
Neutral zone
Staal 60.9%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 66.9%
66.9%
33.1%
Staal
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
Staal
Bozak
Last 10: Staal 6-4 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Staal
Bozak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
7
0
Staal
Bozak
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
2
Staal
Bozak
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (1,075)
56.4% (837)
+0.2%
Power Play
66.7% (141)
60.8% (186)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
58.1% (179)
33.3% (36)
+24.8%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +24.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Staal is 60.1% vs right-shot opponents (449).
Staal shoots left. Bozak is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Staal
Bozak
Home
57.7% (735)
58.7% (516)
Away
57.9% (660)
54.1% (543)
By Period
Staal
Bozak
P1
61.8%
55.7%
P2
55.7%
53.4%
P3
56.1%
59.7%
OT
56.8%
63.2%
Final 5 min
60.1%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
57.8%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2016 | OT | 02:18 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 21, 2016 | OT | 02:13 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 21, 2016 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 3 | 06:24 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 2 | 12:52 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 2 | 09:10 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 1 | 10:12 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 20, 2015 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 20, 2015 | 3 | 11:58 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 20, 2015 | 2 | 13:26 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 20, 2015 | 1 | 16:54 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 20, 2015 | 1 | 14:36 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 20, 2015 | 1 | 09:39 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |