Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bailey on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.5% vs Bailey 44.6% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bailey 86.6%
Defensive zone
Bailey 80.3%
Neutral zone
Bailey 83.1%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 83.7%
16.3%
83.7%
Sutter
Bailey
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Sutter
Bailey
Last 8: Sutter 2-6 Bailey
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
1
2
Sutter
Bailey
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
0
2
Sutter
Bailey
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bailey
1
2
Sutter
Bailey
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (1,005)
44.2% (579)
+7.4%
Power Play
36.5% (52)
52.5% (40)
-16.0%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (211)
39.8% (108)
+9.0%
On power play, Bailey has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Sutter is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (824).
Sutter shoots right. Bailey is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (230).
Home / Away
Sutter
Bailey
Home
49.3% (663)
45.9% (375)
Away
51.7% (632)
41.8% (361)
By Period
Sutter
Bailey
P1
48.0%
47.3%
P2
50.4%
40.4%
P3
53.4%
43.3%
OT
38.1%
63.6%
Final 5 min
51.8%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.5%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2012 | 3 | 05:10 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 18, 2012 | 3 | 01:10 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 21, 2012 | OT | 02:42 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 3 | 01:47 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 05:14 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 1 | 08:54 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 3, 2012 | 2 | 16:59 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |