Scouting Report
Darryl Boyce holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyce on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Boyce wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Bailey shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyce 47.0% vs Bailey 45.2% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyce 59.3%
Defensive zone
Boyce 67.9%
Neutral zone
Boyce 67.7%
Result
Darryl Boyce favored at 67.8%
67.8%
32.2%
Boyce
Bailey
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Boyce
Bailey
Last 9: Boyce 8-1 Bailey
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyce
4
0
Boyce
Bailey
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyce
4
1
Boyce
Bailey
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyce
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (424)
44.2% (441)
+2.5%
Power Play
47.1% (17)
48.1% (81)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
41.7% (84)
-19.5%
On penalty kill, Bailey has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Boyce is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Boyce shoots left. Bailey is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Home / Away
Boyce
Bailey
Home
51.5% (239)
43.1% (295)
Away
40.8% (218)
45.6% (320)
By Period
Boyce
Bailey
P1
47.7%
46.5%
P2
46.5%
45.7%
P3
44.8%
41.3%
OT
50.0%
38.5%
Final 5 min
52.0%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyce
50.0%▲
48.0%
46.4%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Darryl Boyce |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 2 | 07:12 | Defensive | Darryl Boyce |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Darryl Boyce |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Darryl Boyce |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 3 | 16:11 | Defensive | Darryl Boyce |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 2 | 05:24 | Defensive | Darryl Boyce |
| Feb 8, 2011 | 3 | 01:42 | Defensive | Darryl Boyce |
| Feb 8, 2011 | 2 | 01:20 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 8, 2011 | 1 | 01:29 | Neutral | Darryl Boyce |