Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.9% vs 49.5%). Look for Norris on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 49.9% vs Granlund 49.5% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 51.9%
Defensive zone
Granlund 57.3%
Neutral zone
Granlund 57.8%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Norris
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Norris
Granlund
Last 6: Norris 6-0 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
3
0
Norris
Granlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
2
0
Norris
Granlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
1
0
Norris
Granlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (388)
49.7% (493)
+0.8%
Power Play
47.6% (84)
58.6% (111)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
31.1% (61)
+11.8%
On penalty kill, Norris has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Norris is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Norris shoots left. Granlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (445).
Home / Away
Norris
Granlund
Home
48.1% (233)
54.7% (276)
Away
51.6% (246)
45.8% (389)
By Period
Norris
Granlund
P1
53.1%
52.2%
P2
49.2%
49.3%
P3
48.4%
47.4%
OT
0.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
46.5%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
49.9%
Granlund
62.0%▲
54.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 14:19 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 06:05 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 03:36 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 19:20 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 02:00 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 01:07 | Offensive | Josh Norris |