Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.9% vs 50.8%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 49.9% vs Steel 50.6% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 55.2%
Defensive zone
Steel 55.8%
Neutral zone
Steel 52.6%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Norris
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Norris
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Norris
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (388)
52.5% (200)
-2.0%
Power Play
47.6% (84)
71.4% (7)
-23.8%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
40.0% (45)
+2.9%
On power play, Steel has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Norris is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Norris shoots left. Steel is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Norris
Steel
Home
48.1% (233)
49.5% (109)
Away
51.6% (246)
51.7% (143)
By Period
Norris
Steel
P1
53.1%
49.5%
P2
49.2%
47.5%
P3
48.4%
56.6%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
46.5%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
49.9%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 12:44 | Offensive | Sam Steel |