Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Norris wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 52.1% vs Johnson 49.7% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 60.2%
Defensive zone
Norris 67.9%
Neutral zone
Norris 68.0%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 67.9%
67.9%
32.1%
Norris
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Norris
Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
2
0
Norris
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (3,089)
49.8% (5,396)
+2.7%
Power Play
53.4% (412)
54.6% (885)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (240)
42.3% (707)
+3.1%
On penalty kill, Norris has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Norris is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,321).
Norris shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,785).
Home / Away
Norris
Johnson
Home
53.1% (1,896)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
51.2% (1,845)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Norris
Johnson
P1
55.5%
50.1%
P2
51.5%
50.6%
P3
50.1%
48.4%
OT
39.5%
42.5%
Final 5 min
53.3%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 17:36 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 11:26 | Defensive | Josh Norris |