Scouting Report
Jussi Jokinen holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jokinen wins 57.5% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 56.4% vs Thompson 51.1% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Thompson 61.8%
Defensive zone
Thompson 82.2%
Neutral zone
Thompson 67.1%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 68.8%
31.2%
68.8%
Jokinen
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
9
(14 meetings)
5
9
Jokinen
Thompson
Last 10: Jokinen 3-7 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
3
Jokinen
Thompson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
3
Jokinen
Thompson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jokinen
4
3
Jokinen
Thompson
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
60.3% (325)
52.6% (462)
+7.7%
Power Play
46.3% (54)
80.0% (10)
-33.7%
Penalty Kill
54.7% (53)
44.4% (133)
+10.3%
On power play, Thompson has a +33.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Jokinen is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (259).
Jokinen shoots left. Thompson is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Thompson
Home
60.7% (191)
52.5% (324)
Away
55.6% (241)
49.8% (281)
By Period
Jokinen
Thompson
P1
57.8%
49.0%
P2
59.4%
55.4%
P3
56.7%
48.3%
OT
50.0%
83.3%
Final 5 min
59.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
44.0%▼
56.0%
57.9%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2013 | 3 | 09:03 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 3 | 06:09 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 2 | 12:24 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 2 | 03:54 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 1 | 16:00 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 1 | 04:07 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 3 | 11:25 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 3 | 13:20 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 3 | 01:17 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 2 | 05:58 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 2 | 05:50 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 1 | 19:13 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 1 | 11:36 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 1 | 01:37 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |